PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Santos 4–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

Santos

WLLLW
4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos won 4–1.

Shots
1713
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
2.440.92
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Vasco da Gama 4–1. Recorded in this match (Santos – Vasco da Gama): shots 17–13, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 2.44–0.92, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Santos have a visible home split

moderate

Santos's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots13 shotsSantos 17 shots, Vasco da Gama 13 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsSantos 5 shots, Vasco da Gama 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.44 xG0.92 xGSantos 2.44 xG, Vasco da Gama 0.92 xG
  • Possession35%65%Santos 35%, Vasco da Gama 65%
  • Corners5 corners11 cornersSantos 5 corners, Vasco da Gama 11 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls12 foulsSantos 19 fouls, Vasco da Gama 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Santos
0Draws
0Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama — Santos · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos25 matchesVasco da Gama25 matches
1.08 goals/matchGoals scored25/251.08 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.15 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.34 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 12.8 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 3.88 shots/match
44.4%Possession25/25● 48.5%
4.64 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.56 corners/match
16 fouls/matchFouls25/2515.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSantosVasco da Gama
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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