Serie A · 2023

Palmeiras 1–2 Santos · Serie A

1–2Historical match

Santos

LLLWW

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Santos won 1–2.

Shots
2612
Shots on target
610
Expected goals
2.171.43
Possession
70%30%

Full time

What the match recorded

Santos beat Palmeiras 2–1. Recorded in this match (Palmeiras – Santos): shots 26–12, shots on target 6–10, expected goals 2.17–1.43, possession 70%–30%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.54 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.54 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsPalmeiras · Santos11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPalmeirasSantosBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Santos have a visible away split

moderate

Santos's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.46 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.46 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots12 shotsPalmeiras 26 shots, Santos 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots10 shotsPalmeiras 6 shots, Santos 10 shots
  • Expected goals2.17 xG1.43 xGPalmeiras 2.17 xG, Santos 1.43 xG
  • Possession70%30%Palmeiras 70%, Santos 30%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersPalmeiras 6 corners, Santos 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsPalmeiras 8 fouls, Santos 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Palmeiras
1Draws
0Santos
Santos — Palmeiras · Serie A0–0
Palmeiras — Santos · Serie A1–0
Santos — Palmeiras · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palmeiras favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Santos in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palmeiras26 matchesSantos26 matches
1.54 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/261.12 goals/match
0.85 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.62 goals/match
1.49 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.16 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots26/2611.2 shots/match
5.12 shots/match ▲Shots on target26/263.81 shots/match
53.8% ●Possession26/2643.9%
6.58 corners/match ●Corners26/264.54 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2615.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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