PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Internacional 3–2 Grêmio · Serie A

3–2Historical match

Grêmio

WLDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Internacional won 3–2.

Shots
167
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
2.540.37
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Internacional beat Grêmio 3–2. Recorded in this match (Internacional – Grêmio): shots 16–7, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 2.54–0.37, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Internacional's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Internacional's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.88 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.88 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots7 shotsInternacional 16 shots, Grêmio 7 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsInternacional 7 shots, Grêmio 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.54 xG0.37 xGInternacional 2.54 xG, Grêmio 0.37 xG
  • Possession46%54%Internacional 46%, Grêmio 54%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerInternacional 4 corners, Grêmio 1 corner
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsInternacional 15 fouls, Grêmio 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Internacional
0Draws
1Grêmio
Grêmio — Internacional · Serie A3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Internacional favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Internacional26 matchesGrêmio26 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.62 goals/match
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals allowed26/261.35 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.34 xG/match
12.4 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 13.1 shots/match
3.85 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.85 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession26/2645.4%
4.58 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.88 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2612.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsInternacionalGrêmio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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