PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Vasco da Gama 5–1 Coritiba · Serie A

5–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama won 5–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
123
Expected goals
3.690.57
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama beat Coritiba 5–1. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Coritiba): shots 19–8, shots on target 12–3, expected goals 3.69–0.57, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsVasco da Gama 19 shots, Coritiba 8 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots3 shotsVasco da Gama 12 shots, Coritiba 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.69 xG0.57 xGVasco da Gama 3.69 xG, Coritiba 0.57 xG
  • Possession54%46%Vasco da Gama 54%, Coritiba 46%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersVasco da Gama 6 corners, Coritiba 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsVasco da Gama 10 fouls, Coritiba 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vasco da Gama
1Draws
0Coritiba
Coritiba — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama23 matchesCoritiba23 matches
1.09 goals/matchGoals scored23/231.04 goals/match
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals allowed23/232.22 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals23/231.09 xG/match
12.7 shots/match ▲Shots23/2311.9 shots/match
3.87 shots/matchShots on target23/23▲ 4.65 shots/match
47% ●Possession23/2344.1%
5.22 corners/match ●Corners23/234.78 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls23/2316.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples23 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 22 Sept 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaCoritiba
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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