PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Goiás 4–6 Bahia · Serie A

Goiás

DDLDD
4–6Historical match

Bahia

LDWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 4–6.

Shots
2213
Shots on target
79
Expected goals
2.671.93
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Goiás 6–4. Recorded in this match (Goiás – Bahia): shots 22–13, shots on target 7–9, expected goals 2.67–1.93, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.31 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.31 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots13 shotsGoiás 22 shots, Bahia 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots9 shotsGoiás 7 shots, Bahia 9 shots
  • Expected goals2.67 xG1.93 xGGoiás 2.67 xG, Bahia 1.93 xG
  • Possession63%37%Goiás 63%, Bahia 37%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersGoiás 6 corners, Bahia 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsGoiás 8 fouls, Bahia 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Goiás
1Draws
0Bahia
Bahia — Goiás · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Goiás favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Goiás26 matchesBahia26 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.31 goals/match
1.42 goals/matchGoals allowed26/261.46 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.33 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 13.8 shots/match
3.65 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.73 shots/match
44%Possession26/26● 50.8%
5.27 corners/matchCorners26/26● 5.81 corners/match
16.6 fouls/matchFouls26/2614.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGoiásBahia
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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