PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Vasco da Gama 0–0 São Paulo · Serie A

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama and São Paulo drew 0–0.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
24
Expected goals
0.891.42
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama and São Paulo drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – São Paulo): shots 11–12, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.89–1.42, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.04 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.04 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

São Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.1%PossessionVasco da Gama · São Paulo● 60.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVasco da GamaSão PauloBaseline
Possession48.1%60.8%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsVasco da Gama 11 shots, São Paulo 12 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots4 shotsVasco da Gama 2 shots, São Paulo 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.89 xG1.42 xGVasco da Gama 0.89 xG, São Paulo 1.42 xG
  • Possession39%61%Vasco da Gama 39%, São Paulo 61%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersVasco da Gama 7 corners, São Paulo 3 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls7 foulsVasco da Gama 15 fouls, São Paulo 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vasco da Gama
0Draws
1São Paulo
São Paulo — Vasco da Gama · Serie A4–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama26 matchesSão Paulo26 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.04 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.41 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.81 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.96 shots/match
48.1%Possession26/26● 60.8%
5.62 corners/matchCorners26/26● 6.27 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls26/2614.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Oct 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVasco da GamaSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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