PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Botafogo 1–1 Goiás · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Goiás

DDDLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo and Goiás drew 1–1.

Shots
188
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
0.930.51
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo and Goiás drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Goiás): shots 18–8, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 0.93–0.51, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Goiás's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Goiás's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.84 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo have a visible home split

moderate

Botafogo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsBotafogo 18 shots, Goiás 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsBotafogo 6 shots, Goiás 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.93 xG0.51 xGBotafogo 0.93 xG, Goiás 0.51 xG
  • Possession60%40%Botafogo 60%, Goiás 40%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersBotafogo 8 corners, Goiás 3 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls16 foulsBotafogo 18 fouls, Goiás 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo
0Draws
2Goiás
Goiás — Botafogo · Serie A2–1
Goiás — Botafogo · Serie A0–1
Botafogo — Goiás · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Goiás in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo25 matchesGoiás25 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored25/250.84 goals/match
0.64 goals/match ▲Goals allowed25/251.24 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals25/250.94 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots25/2512.5 shots/match
4.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target25/253.52 shots/match
46.1% ●Possession25/2543.3%
4.68 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5.24 corners/match
13.7 fouls/matchFouls25/2516.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 3 Oct 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoGoiás
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headBotafogo — Goiás
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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