PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Palmeiras 0–2 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro won 0–2.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.691.08
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Mineiro beat Palmeiras 2–0. Recorded in this match (Palmeiras – Atlético Mineiro): shots 12–13, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.69–1.08, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsPalmeiras 12 shots, Atlético Mineiro 13 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsPalmeiras 4 shots, Atlético Mineiro 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.69 xG1.08 xGPalmeiras 0.69 xG, Atlético Mineiro 1.08 xG
  • Possession56%44%Palmeiras 56%, Atlético Mineiro 44%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersPalmeiras 7 corners, Atlético Mineiro 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls19 foulsPalmeiras 17 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Palmeiras
2Draws
0Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro — Palmeiras · Serie A1–1
Atlético Mineiro — Palmeiras · Serie A0–1
Palmeiras — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palmeiras favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palmeiras27 matchesAtlético Mineiro27 matches
1.48 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271.19 goals/match
0.89 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.78 goals/match
1.46 xG/match ▲Expected goals27/271.21 xG/match
15.7 shots/match ▲Shots27/2713.3 shots/match
5.07 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/274.74 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession27/2753.5%
6.59 corners/match ●Corners27/275.33 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls27/2716.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Oct 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPalmeirasAtlético Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headPalmeiras — Atlético Mineiro
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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