Serie A · 2023

Coritiba 0–2 Palmeiras · Serie A

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 0–2.

Shots
1319
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.641.12
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Coritiba 2–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Palmeiras): shots 13–19, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.64–1.12, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Coritiba, Palmeiras.

3.94 days ▲Rest daysCoritiba · Palmeiras2.98 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCoritibaPalmeirasBaseline
Rest days3.94 days2.98 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsCoritiba · Palmeiras15.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCoritibaPalmeirasBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match15.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against14.9 shots/match11.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots19 shotsCoritiba 13 shots, Palmeiras 19 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsCoritiba 3 shots, Palmeiras 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.64 xG1.12 xGCoritiba 0.64 xG, Palmeiras 1.12 xG
  • Possession46%54%Coritiba 46%, Palmeiras 54%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersCoritiba 3 corners, Palmeiras 6 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls18 foulsCoritiba 13 fouls, Palmeiras 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Coritiba
0Draws
3Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Coritiba · Serie A3–1
Palmeiras — Coritiba · Serie A4–0
Coritiba — Palmeiras · Serie A0–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba28 matchesPalmeiras28 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 1.5 goals/match
2.11 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.45 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 15.9 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 5.11 shots/match
44.1%Possession28/28● 53.9%
4.54 corners/matchCorners28/28● 6.57 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls28/2815.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 23 Oct 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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