PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cruzeiro 0–2 Flamengo · Serie A

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 0–2.

Shots
129
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
0.281.84
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Cruzeiro 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Flamengo): shots 12–9, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 0.28–1.84, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Flamengo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.48 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.48 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots9 shotsCruzeiro 12 shots, Flamengo 9 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsCruzeiro 5 shots, Flamengo 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.28 xG1.84 xGCruzeiro 0.28 xG, Flamengo 1.84 xG
  • Possession43%57%Cruzeiro 43%, Flamengo 57%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersCruzeiro 9 corners, Flamengo 3 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls11 foulsCruzeiro 20 fouls, Flamengo 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cruzeiro
1Draws
0Flamengo
Flamengo — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 4 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro27 matchesFlamengo27 matches
0.89 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.48 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.15 goals/match
1.22 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.39 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots27/2713.1 shots/match
4.22 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 4.63 shots/match
52.2%Possession27/27● 58.9%
7.22 corners/match ●Corners27/275.41 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls27/2713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Oct 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroFlamengo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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