Serie A · 2023

Flamengo 1–0 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 1–0.

Shots
1017
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
0.461.07
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Vasco da Gama 1–0. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Vasco da Gama): shots 10–17, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 0.46–1.07, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Flamengo, Vasco da Gama.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysFlamengo · Vasco da Gama3.77 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFlamengoVasco da GamaBaseline
Rest days2.88 days3.77 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Flamengo have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.5% ●PossessionFlamengo · Vasco da Gama48.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoVasco da GamaBaseline
Possession58.5%48.3%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots17 shotsFlamengo 10 shots, Vasco da Gama 17 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsFlamengo 5 shots, Vasco da Gama 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.46 xG1.07 xGFlamengo 0.46 xG, Vasco da Gama 1.07 xG
  • Possession47%53%Flamengo 47%, Vasco da Gama 53%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersFlamengo 7 corners, Vasco da Gama 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsFlamengo 10 fouls, Vasco da Gama 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Flamengo
0Draws
0Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama — Flamengo · Serie A1–4

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo28 matchesVasco da Gama28 matches
1.46 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281 goal/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed28/281.39 goals/match
1.36 xG/matchExpected goals28/281.33 xG/match
13 shots/matchShots28/2813.1 shots/match
4.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/284.07 shots/match
58.5% ●Possession28/2848.3%
5.46 corners/matchCorners28/28● 5.71 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls28/2815.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Oct 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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