Serie A · 2023

Santos 1–3 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

Santos

LLWWW
1–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino won 1–3.

Shots
2615
Shots on target
79
Expected goals
1.872.52
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino beat Santos 3–1. Recorded in this match (Santos – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 26–15, shots on target 7–9, expected goals 1.87–2.52, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Santos's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Santos's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.11 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.11 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Red Bull Bragantino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsSantos · Red Bull Bragantino16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricSantosRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against15.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Santos have a visible home split

moderate

Santos's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.9 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots15 shotsSantos 26 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 15 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots9 shotsSantos 7 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.87 xG2.52 xGSantos 1.87 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 2.52 xG
  • Possession38%62%Santos 38%, Red Bull Bragantino 62%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersSantos 5 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsSantos 8 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Santos
1Draws
1Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Santos · Serie A2–0
Red Bull Bragantino — Santos · Serie A0–2
Santos — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Santos favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Santos27 matchesRed Bull Bragantino27 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.44 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 0.89 goals/match
1.19 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.51 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots27/27▲ 16.4 shots/match
3.93 shots/matchShots on target27/27▲ 5.85 shots/match
43.7%Possession27/27● 56.9%
4.56 corners/matchCorners27/27● 7 corners/match
15.5 fouls/matchFouls27/2716.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 20 Oct 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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