Serie A · 2024

Palmeiras 2–1 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 2–1.

Shots
2413
Shots on target
73
Expected goals
3.161.4
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Red Bull Bragantino 2–1. Recorded in this match (Palmeiras – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 24–13, shots on target 7–3, expected goals 3.16–1.4, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

18.9 shots/match ▲ShotsPalmeiras · Red Bull Bragantino13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPalmeirasRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Shots18.9 shots/match13.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against10.7 shots/match16 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Palmeiras.

3.04 days ▲Rest daysPalmeiras · Red Bull Bragantino5.12 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPalmeirasRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Rest days3.04 days5.12 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots13 shotsPalmeiras 24 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots3 shotsPalmeiras 7 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 3 shots
  • Expected goals3.16 xG1.4 xGPalmeiras 3.16 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 1.4 xG
  • Possession41%59%Palmeiras 41%, Red Bull Bragantino 59%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersPalmeiras 10 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls9 foulsPalmeiras 10 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Palmeiras
2Draws
1Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Palmeiras · Serie A2–1
Palmeiras — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A1–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Palmeiras · Serie A2–2
Palmeiras — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palmeiras favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palmeiras10 matchesRed Bull Bragantino10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.3 goals/match
0.5 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.85 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/100.88 xG/match
18.9 shots/match ▲Shots10/1013.4 shots/match
4.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.2 shots/match
52.5% ●Possession10/1046.1%
7.2 corners/match ●Corners10/104.6 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 21 Jun 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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