Serie A · 2024

Red Bull Bragantino 2–1 Vitória · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino won 2–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.470.68
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino beat Vitória 2–1. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Vitória): shots 16–10, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.47–0.68, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Vitória's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vitória's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Red Bull Bragantino, Vitória.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysRed Bull Bragantino · Vitória3 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRed Bull BragantinoVitóriaBaseline
Rest days2.88 days3 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 16 shots, Vitória 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 6 shots, Vitória 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG0.68 xGRed Bull Bragantino 1.47 xG, Vitória 0.68 xG
  • Possession64%36%Red Bull Bragantino 64%, Vitória 36%
  • Corners6 corners7 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 6 corners, Vitória 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 10 fouls, Vitória 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino11 matchesVitória11 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/111.18 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/111.73 goals/match
0.93 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.01 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots11/1111.7 shots/match
4.36 shots/matchShots on target11/114.45 shots/match
47.7% ●Possession11/1141.2%
4.73 corners/match ●Corners11/113.55 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1110.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Jun 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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