Serie A · 2024

Palmeiras 3–1 Juventude · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 3–1.

Shots
2816
Shots on target
108
Expected goals
2.881.37
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Juventude 3–1. Recorded in this match (Palmeiras – Juventude): shots 28–16, shots on target 10–8, expected goals 2.88–1.37, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.45 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.45 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

19.7 shots/match ▲ShotsPalmeiras · Juventude13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPalmeirasJuventudeBaseline
Shots19.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match15.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Palmeiras, Juventude.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysPalmeiras · Juventude3.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPalmeirasJuventudeBaseline
Rest days2.88 days3.94 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots28 shots16 shotsPalmeiras 28 shots, Juventude 16 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots8 shotsPalmeiras 10 shots, Juventude 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.88 xG1.37 xGPalmeiras 2.88 xG, Juventude 1.37 xG
  • Possession57%43%Palmeiras 57%, Juventude 43%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersPalmeiras 10 corners, Juventude 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls7 foulsPalmeiras 14 fouls, Juventude 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Palmeiras
0Draws
0Juventude
Palmeiras — Juventude · Serie A2–1
Juventude — Palmeiras · Serie A0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palmeiras favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palmeiras11 matchesJuventude10 matches
1.45 goals/match ▲Goals scored11/101.2 goals/match
0.55 goals/match ▲Goals allowed11/101.4 goals/match
1.95 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/101.17 xG/match
19.7 shots/match ▲Shots11/1013.4 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target11/104.5 shots/match
52.9% ●Possession11/1049.9%
7.45 corners/match ●Corners11/104 corners/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1013.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Jun 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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