PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Juventude 2–1 Flamengo · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 2–1.

Shots
159
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
2.451.63
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat Flamengo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Flamengo): shots 15–9, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 2.45–1.63, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Juventude, Flamengo.

3.06 days ▲Rest daysJuventude · Flamengo3.17 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventudeFlamengoBaseline
Rest days3.06 days3.17 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches4 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Flamengo's last-five shots average is below their season average.

12.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots12.4 shots/match14.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsJuventude 15 shots, Flamengo 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsJuventude 8 shots, Flamengo 5 shots
  • Expected goals2.45 xG1.63 xGJuventude 2.45 xG, Flamengo 1.63 xG
  • Possession53%47%Juventude 53%, Flamengo 47%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersJuventude 7 corners, Flamengo 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsJuventude 9 fouls, Flamengo 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
1Draws
1Flamengo
Juventude — Flamengo · Serie A2–2
Flamengo — Juventude · Serie A4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude11 matchesFlamengo12 matches
1.27 goals/matchGoals scored11/12▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed11/12▲ 0.92 goals/match
1.29 xG/matchExpected goals11/12▲ 1.43 xG/match
13.5 shots/matchShots11/12▲ 14.9 shots/match
4.82 shots/matchShots on target11/12▲ 5.67 shots/match
50.2%Possession11/12● 53%
4.27 corners/matchCorners11/12● 7 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls11/1211.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Jun 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeFlamengo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headJuventude — Flamengo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required