Serie A · 2024

Atlético Goianiense 1–1 Grêmio · Serie A

1–1Historical match

Grêmio

LLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Goianiense and Grêmio drew 1–1.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.690.45
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Goianiense and Grêmio drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Atlético Goianiense – Grêmio): shots 16–11, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.69–0.45, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Goianiense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Goianiense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Goianiense, Grêmio.

4.06 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Goianiense · Grêmio4.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético GoianienseGrêmioBaseline
Rest days4.06 days4.1 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches4 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Grêmio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Grêmio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Goianiense · Grêmio10.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético GoianienseGrêmioBaseline
Shots14.3 shots/match10.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsAtlético Goianiense 16 shots, Grêmio 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsAtlético Goianiense 5 shots, Grêmio 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.69 xG0.45 xGAtlético Goianiense 1.69 xG, Grêmio 0.45 xG
  • Possession49%51%Atlético Goianiense 49%, Grêmio 51%
  • Corners5 corners8 cornersAtlético Goianiense 5 corners, Grêmio 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsAtlético Goianiense 13 fouls, Grêmio 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Goianiense favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 3 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Goianiense12 matchesGrêmio10 matches
0.83 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/100.7 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed12/101.2 goals/match
1.3 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/100.79 xG/match
14.3 shots/match ▲Shots12/1010.1 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/103.3 shots/match
48%Possession12/10● 50.2%
4.33 corners/matchCorners12/10● 5.2 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls12/1011 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Jun 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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