Serie A · 2024

Flamengo 2–1 Bahia · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Bahia

WWDWD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 2–1.

Shots
148
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.090.75
Possession
35%65%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Bahia 2–1. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Bahia): shots 14–8, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.09–0.75, possession 35%–65%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Flamengo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.8 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.8 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Flamengo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Flamengo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFlamengo · Bahia12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoBahiaBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match12.4 shots/match12.8 shots/match
Shots against11.2 shots/match14.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots8 shotsFlamengo 14 shots, Bahia 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsFlamengo 3 shots, Bahia 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG0.75 xGFlamengo 1.09 xG, Bahia 0.75 xG
  • Possession35%65%Flamengo 35%, Bahia 65%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersFlamengo 6 corners, Bahia 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsFlamengo 8 fouls, Bahia 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Flamengo
0Draws
0Bahia
Flamengo — Bahia · Serie A1–0
Bahia — Flamengo · Serie A2–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Bahia in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo10 matchesBahia10 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
0.9 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.1 goals/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/101.22 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots10/1012.4 shots/match
5.9 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/104.1 shots/match
54.3% ●Possession10/1052.3%
7 corners/match ●Corners10/104.3 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 21 Jun 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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