PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Juventude 3–2 Botafogo · Serie A

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 3–2.

Shots
1624
Shots on target
810
Expected goals
1.851.82
Possession
37%63%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat Botafogo 3–2. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Botafogo): shots 16–24, shots on target 8–10, expected goals 1.85–1.82, possession 37%–63%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots24 shotsJuventude 16 shots, Botafogo 24 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots10 shotsJuventude 8 shots, Botafogo 10 shots
  • Expected goals1.85 xG1.82 xGJuventude 1.85 xG, Botafogo 1.82 xG
  • Possession37%63%Juventude 37%, Botafogo 63%
  • Corners6 corners12 cornersJuventude 6 corners, Botafogo 12 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls14 foulsJuventude 10 fouls, Botafogo 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
2Draws
1Botafogo
Botafogo — Juventude · Serie A5–1
Juventude — Botafogo · Serie A2–2
Botafogo — Juventude · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude20 matchesBotafogo22 matches
1.2 goals/matchGoals scored20/22▲ 1.68 goals/match
1.35 goals/matchGoals allowed20/22▲ 1.05 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals20/22▲ 1.34 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots20/22▲ 13.1 shots/match
4.2 shots/matchShots on target20/22▲ 5.18 shots/match
47.3%Possession20/22● 51.2%
4.15 corners/matchCorners20/22● 5.64 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls20/2216.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Aug 2024, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headJuventude — Botafogo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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