Serie A · 2024

São Paulo 1–0 Atlético Goianiense · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 1–0.

Shots
1213
Shots on target
76
Expected goals
2.050.67
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo beat Atlético Goianiense 1–0. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – Atlético Goianiense): shots 12–13, shots on target 7–6, expected goals 2.05–0.67, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

São Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

São Paulo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.36 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.36 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

São Paulo have recorded the higher season possession share.

57.3% ●PossessionSão Paulo · Atlético Goianiense45.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.5 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricSão PauloAtlético GoianienseBaseline
Possession57.3%45.7%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots13 shotsSão Paulo 12 shots, Atlético Goianiense 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots6 shotsSão Paulo 7 shots, Atlético Goianiense 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.05 xG0.67 xGSão Paulo 2.05 xG, Atlético Goianiense 0.67 xG
  • Possession45%55%São Paulo 45%, Atlético Goianiense 55%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersSão Paulo 3 corners, Atlético Goianiense 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls8 foulsSão Paulo 15 fouls, Atlético Goianiense 8 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3São Paulo
0Draws
0Atlético Goianiense
Atlético Goianiense — São Paulo · Serie A0–3
São Paulo — Atlético Goianiense · Serie A2–1
Atlético Goianiense — São Paulo · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Goianiense in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo22 matchesAtlético Goianiense22 matches
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/220.77 goals/match
0.95 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.64 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.07 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots22/2213.5 shots/match
4.82 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.41 shots/match
57.3% ●Possession22/2245.7%
5.45 corners/match ●Corners22/224.55 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls22/2212.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Aug 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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