PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Bahia 2–0 Vitória · Serie A

Bahia

LLDDL
2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 2–0.

Shots
714
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
0.640.97
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Vitória 2–0. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Vitória): shots 7–14, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 0.64–0.97, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Bahia have recorded the higher season possession share.

55.9% ●PossessionBahia · Vitória43.2%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBahiaVitóriaBaseline
Possession55.9%43.2%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots14 shotsBahia 7 shots, Vitória 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsBahia 3 shots, Vitória 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.64 xG0.97 xGBahia 0.64 xG, Vitória 0.97 xG
  • Possession57%43%Bahia 57%, Vitória 43%
  • Corners3 corners7 cornersBahia 3 corners, Vitória 7 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsBahia 10 fouls, Vitória 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bahia
1Draws
0Vitória
Vitória — Bahia · Serie A2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Vitória in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia22 matchesVitória22 matches
1.41 goals/match ▲Goals scored22/221.05 goals/match
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.55 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/221.07 xG/match
12.6 shots/match ▲Shots22/2211.8 shots/match
4.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/224.05 shots/match
55.9% ●Possession22/2243.2%
4.36 corners/match ●Corners22/224.27 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls22/2211.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Aug 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaVitória
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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