PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Flamengo 1–1 Palmeiras · Serie A

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo and Palmeiras drew 1–1.

Shots
119
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
11.28
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo and Palmeiras drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Palmeiras): shots 11–9, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1–1.28, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.32 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.32 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

strong

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.38 corners/matchCornersFlamengo · Palmeiras● 7.18 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoPalmeirasBaseline
Corners6.38 corners/match7.18 corners/match4.95 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots9 shotsFlamengo 11 shots, Palmeiras 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsFlamengo 7 shots, Palmeiras 7 shots
  • Expected goals1 xG1.28 xGFlamengo 1 xG, Palmeiras 1.28 xG
  • Possession52%48%Flamengo 52%, Palmeiras 48%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersFlamengo 4 corners, Palmeiras 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls21 foulsFlamengo 15 fouls, Palmeiras 21 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Flamengo
4Draws
0Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Flamengo · Serie A0–0
Flamengo — Palmeiras · Serie A3–0
Palmeiras — Flamengo · Serie A1–1
Palmeiras — Flamengo · Serie A1–1
Flamengo — Palmeiras · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 4 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo21 matchesPalmeiras22 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/221.32 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed21/22▲ 0.82 goals/match
1.4 xG/matchExpected goals21/22▲ 1.65 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots21/22▲ 18 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/225.32 shots/match
53.9%Possession21/22● 54.3%
6.38 corners/matchCorners21/22● 7.18 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls21/2214 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Aug 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFlamengoPalmeiras
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headFlamengo — Palmeiras
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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