PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Juventude 2–1 Fluminense · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Juventude won 2–1.

Shots
128
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
0.570.69
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Juventude beat Fluminense 2–1. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Fluminense): shots 12–8, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 0.57–0.69, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fluminense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fluminense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.84 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.84 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots8 shotsJuventude 12 shots, Fluminense 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotJuventude 5 shots, Fluminense 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.57 xG0.69 xGJuventude 0.57 xG, Fluminense 0.69 xG
  • Possession53%47%Juventude 53%, Fluminense 47%
  • Corners8 corners5 cornersJuventude 8 corners, Fluminense 5 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls9 foulsJuventude 8 fouls, Fluminense 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Juventude
1Draws
1Fluminense
Fluminense — Juventude · Serie A1–1
Fluminense — Juventude · Serie A4–0
Juventude — Fluminense · Serie A1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Fluminense in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude26 matchesFluminense25 matches
1.19 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/250.84 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed26/25▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.05 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/250.85 xG/match
11.8 shots/match ▲Shots26/2511 shots/match
4.15 shots/matchShots on target26/254.08 shots/match
47.5%Possession26/25● 54.8%
4.23 corners/matchCorners26/25● 4.28 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls26/2512.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 15 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeFluminense
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headJuventude — Fluminense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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