PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vitória 1–0 Juventude · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vitória won 1–0.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.110.9
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vitória beat Juventude 1–0. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Juventude): shots 13–11, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.11–0.9, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsVitória 13 shots, Juventude 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsVitória 2 shots, Juventude 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.11 xG0.9 xGVitória 1.11 xG, Juventude 0.9 xG
  • Possession36%64%Vitória 36%, Juventude 64%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersVitória 4 corners, Juventude 5 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls15 foulsVitória 12 fouls, Juventude 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
2Draws
1Juventude
Juventude — Vitória · Serie A1–1
Vitória — Juventude · Serie B0–0
Juventude — Vitória · Serie B1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 3 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória27 matchesJuventude27 matches
1.07 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.15 goals/match
1.44 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals27/271.05 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots27/2711.8 shots/match
4.04 shots/matchShots on target27/274.07 shots/match
42.3%Possession27/27● 48.1%
4.44 corners/match ●Corners27/274.26 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 21 Sept 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaJuventude
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headVitória — Juventude
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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