Primera A · 2026

Junior Barranquilla 2–2 Once Caldas · Primera A

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Junior Barranquilla and Once Caldas drew 2–2.

Shots
920
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
0.981.69
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Junior Barranquilla and Once Caldas drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Junior Barranquilla – Once Caldas): shots 9–20, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 0.98–1.69, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Junior Barranquilla, Once Caldas.

3.09 days ▲Rest daysJunior Barranquilla · Once Caldas3.09 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJunior BarranquillaOnce CaldasBaseline
Rest days3.09 days3.09 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Junior Barranquilla's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Junior Barranquilla's last-five shots average is below their season average.

8.5 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots8.5 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Once Caldas have a visible away split

moderate

Once Caldas's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match14.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots20 shotsJunior Barranquilla 9 shots, Once Caldas 20 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsJunior Barranquilla 5 shots, Once Caldas 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.98 xG1.69 xGJunior Barranquilla 0.98 xG, Once Caldas 1.69 xG
  • Possession52%48%Junior Barranquilla 52%, Once Caldas 48%
  • Corners5 corners11 cornersJunior Barranquilla 5 corners, Once Caldas 11 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls9 foulsJunior Barranquilla 15 fouls, Once Caldas 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Junior Barranquilla
0Draws
1Once Caldas
Once Caldas — Junior Barranquilla · Primera A0–1
Once Caldas — Junior Barranquilla · Primera A2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Junior Barranquilla favored in 2 of 13 directional metrics · Once Caldas in 6 · 5 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Junior Barranquilla21 matchesOnce Caldas21 matches
1.62 goals/matchGoals scored21/211.57 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed21/211.19 goals/match
1.19 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.07 xG/match
12.1 shots/matchShots20/21▲ 14.1 shots/match
4.55 shots/matchShots on target20/21▲ 5.48 shots/match
52.9%Possession20/21● 53.8%
4.9 corners/matchCorners20/21● 5.38 corners/match
2.5 cards/matchCards4/63 cards/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls20/219.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 14 May 2026, 05:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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