PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Independiente Santa Fe 1–1 Junior Barranquilla · Primera A

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Santa Fe and Junior Barranquilla drew 1–1.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.960.52
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente Santa Fe and Junior Barranquilla drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Independiente Santa Fe – Junior Barranquilla): shots 16–14, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.96–0.52, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Independiente Santa Fe's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Independiente Santa Fe's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.59 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.59 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Independiente Santa Fe, Junior Barranquilla.

4 days ▲Rest daysIndependiente Santa Fe · Junior Barranquilla3.01 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricIndependiente Santa FeJunior BarranquillaBaseline
Rest days4 days3.01 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Independiente Santa Fe show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Independiente Santa Fe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsIndependiente Santa Fe · Junior Barranquilla12.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricIndependiente Santa FeJunior BarranquillaBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match12.1 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against12.2 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 16 shots, Junior Barranquilla 14 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsIndependiente Santa Fe 3 shots, Junior Barranquilla 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.96 xG0.52 xGIndependiente Santa Fe 1.96 xG, Junior Barranquilla 0.52 xG
  • Possession53%47%Independiente Santa Fe 53%, Junior Barranquilla 47%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersIndependiente Santa Fe 6 corners, Junior Barranquilla 3 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls10 foulsIndependiente Santa Fe 5 fouls, Junior Barranquilla 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Independiente Santa Fe
0Draws
0Junior Barranquilla
Independiente Santa Fe — Junior Barranquilla · Primera A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Independiente Santa Fe favored in 9 of 13 directional metrics · Junior Barranquilla in 1 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Independiente Santa Fe22 matchesJunior Barranquilla22 matches
1.59 goals/matchGoals scored22/221.59 goals/match
1.09 goals/match ▲Goals allowed22/221.23 goals/match
1.23 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.15 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots22/2112.1 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target22/214.48 shots/match
48.2%Possession22/21● 52.6%
4.86 corners/match ●Corners22/214.81 corners/match
3.63 cards/matchCards8/42.5 cards/match
10.5 fouls/matchFouls22/2112.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples22 / 22home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 17 May 2026, 05:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsIndependiente Santa FeJunior Barranquilla
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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