PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Pasto 0–1 Llaneros FC · Primera A

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Llaneros FC won 0–1.

Shots
59
Shots on target
01
Expected goals
0.610.6
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

Llaneros FC beat Deportivo Pasto 1–0. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Pasto – Llaneros FC): shots 5–9, shots on target 0–1, expected goals 0.61–0.6, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Pasto's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Pasto's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.23 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.23 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Llaneros FC.

14.8 days ▲Rest daysDeportivo Pasto · Llaneros FC4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDeportivo PastoLlaneros FCBaseline
Rest days14.8 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days0 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots9 shotsDeportivo Pasto 5 shots, Llaneros FC 9 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots1 shotDeportivo Pasto 0 shots, Llaneros FC 1 shot
  • Expected goals0.61 xG0.6 xGDeportivo Pasto 0.61 xG, Llaneros FC 0.6 xG
  • Possession51%49%Deportivo Pasto 51%, Llaneros FC 49%
  • Corners5 corners5 cornersDeportivo Pasto 5 corners, Llaneros FC 5 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls9 foulsDeportivo Pasto 19 fouls, Llaneros FC 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Deportivo Pasto
0Draws
0Llaneros FC
Llaneros FC — Deportivo Pasto · Primera A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pasto favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Llaneros FC in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pasto26 matchesLlaneros FC24 matches
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals scored26/241 goal/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed26/24▲ 0.96 goals/match
1.03 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/170.89 xG/match
11.3 shots/match ▲Shots26/2410.5 shots/match
3.58 shots/matchShots on target26/243.67 shots/match
51.7% ●Possession26/2447%
4.08 corners/matchCorners26/24● 5.13 corners/match
4.56 cards/matchCards9/73.71 cards/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls26/2410.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples26 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 24 Aug 2026, 01:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PastoLlaneros FC
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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