Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Pasto 1–2 Deportivo Pereira · Primera A

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Deportivo Pereira won 1–2.

Shots
318
Shots on target
53
Expected goals
2.691.19
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Deportivo Pereira beat Deportivo Pasto 2–1. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Pasto – Deportivo Pereira): shots 31–8, shots on target 5–3, expected goals 2.69–1.19, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Pasto's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Pasto's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Deportivo Pasto.

3.91 days ▲Rest daysDeportivo Pasto · Deportivo Pereira9.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDeportivo PastoDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Rest days3.91 days9.94 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Deportivo Pasto show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Deportivo Pasto's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Pasto · Deportivo Pereira8.91 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo PastoDeportivo PereiraBaseline
Shots12 shots/match8.91 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match17.5 shots/match12 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots31 shots8 shotsDeportivo Pasto 31 shots, Deportivo Pereira 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots3 shotsDeportivo Pasto 5 shots, Deportivo Pereira 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.69 xG1.19 xGDeportivo Pasto 2.69 xG, Deportivo Pereira 1.19 xG
  • Possession55%45%Deportivo Pasto 55%, Deportivo Pereira 45%
  • Corners8 corners3 cornersDeportivo Pasto 8 corners, Deportivo Pereira 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls11 foulsDeportivo Pasto 8 fouls, Deportivo Pereira 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Pasto
1Draws
0Deportivo Pereira
Deportivo Pereira — Deportivo Pasto · Primera A2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pasto favored in 11 of 13 directional metrics · Deportivo Pereira in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pasto28 matchesDeportivo Pereira23 matches
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/230.74 goals/match
1.46 goals/matchGoals allowed28/231.48 goals/match
1.09 xG/match ▲Expected goals22/190.76 xG/match
12 shots/match ▲Shots28/238.91 shots/match
3.61 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/233.26 shots/match
51.8% ●Possession28/2343.8%
4.14 corners/match ●Corners28/232.39 corners/match
4.56 cards/matchCards9/73.29 cards/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls28/2310.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples28 / 23home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Sept 2026, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

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