PitchMath
Primera A · 2026

Deportivo Pereira 0–3 Independiente Medellín · Primera A

0–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Independiente Medellín won 0–3.

Shots
921
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
0.41.87
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Independiente Medellín beat Deportivo Pereira 3–0. Recorded in this match (Deportivo Pereira – Independiente Medellín): shots 9–21, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 0.4–1.87, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Deportivo Pereira's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Deportivo Pereira's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.71 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match0.71 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Independiente Medellín show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Independiente Medellín's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.92 shots/match ▲ShotsDeportivo Pereira · Independiente Medellín14.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDeportivo PereiraIndependiente MedellínBaseline
Shots8.92 shots/match14.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against17.7 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Deportivo Pereira.

3.08 days ▲Rest daysDeportivo Pereira · Independiente Medellín4.16 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricDeportivo PereiraIndependiente MedellínBaseline
Rest days3.08 days4.16 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots21 shotsDeportivo Pereira 9 shots, Independiente Medellín 21 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsDeportivo Pereira 4 shots, Independiente Medellín 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.4 xG1.87 xGDeportivo Pereira 0.4 xG, Independiente Medellín 1.87 xG
  • Possession44%56%Deportivo Pereira 44%, Independiente Medellín 56%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersDeportivo Pereira 2 corners, Independiente Medellín 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsDeportivo Pereira 9 fouls, Independiente Medellín 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards4 cardsDeportivo Pereira 2 cards, Independiente Medellín 4 cards
  • Passes394 passes507 passesDeportivo Pereira 394 passes, Independiente Medellín 507 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.8%92.1%Deportivo Pereira 87.8%, Independiente Medellín 92.1%
  • Shots inside box4 shots13 shotsDeportivo Pereira 4 shots, Independiente Medellín 13 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks2 blocksDeportivo Pereira 3 blocks, Independiente Medellín 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves4 savesDeportivo Pereira 5 saves, Independiente Medellín 4 saves
  • Offsides1 offside0 offsidesDeportivo Pereira 1 offside, Independiente Medellín 0 offsides

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Deportivo Pereira
1Draws
0Independiente Medellín
Independiente Medellín — Deportivo Pereira · Primera A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Deportivo Pereira favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Independiente Medellín in 12 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Deportivo Pereira24 matchesIndependiente Medellín25 matches
0.71 goals/matchGoals scored24/25▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed24/25▲ 1.2 goals/match
0.74 xG/matchExpected goals20/20▲ 1.23 xG/match
8.92 shots/matchShots24/25▲ 14.6 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target24/25▲ 4.84 shots/match
43.8%Possession24/25● 52.8%
2.38 corners/matchCorners24/25● 5.08 corners/match
3.29 cards/matchCards7/84.38 cards/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls24/2511.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples24 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Sept 2026, 05:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Primera A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDeportivo PereiraIndependiente Medellín
CompetitionPrimera A
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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