PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

CSKA Moscow 4–2 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

4–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 4–2.

Shots
1911
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.21.09
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat Akhmat Grozny 4–2. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – Akhmat Grozny): shots 19–11, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.2–1.09, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow have a visible home split

weak

CSKA Moscow's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19.5 shots/match16.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

CSKA Moscow's last-five shots average is below their season average.

13.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots13.6 shots/match16.3 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots11 shotsCSKA Moscow 19 shots, Akhmat Grozny 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsCSKA Moscow 8 shots, Akhmat Grozny 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.2 xG1.09 xGCSKA Moscow 2.2 xG, Akhmat Grozny 1.09 xG
  • Possession57%43%CSKA Moscow 57%, Akhmat Grozny 43%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersCSKA Moscow 10 corners, Akhmat Grozny 2 corners
  • Fouls5 fouls17 foulsCSKA Moscow 5 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow6 matchesAkhmat Grozny6 matches
2.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
2.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.45 xG/match
16.3 shots/match ▲Shots6/614.3 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.17 shots/match
47.8% ●Possession6/643.5%
3.83 corners/match ●Corners6/63 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls6/611.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 Aug 2022, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowAkhmat Grozny
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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