PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Akhmat Grozny 1–2 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara won 1–2.

Shots
815
Shots on target
28
Expected goals
0.91.1
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara beat Akhmat Grozny 2–1. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 8–15, shots on target 2–8, expected goals 0.9–1.1, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

weak

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.29 goals/match1.43 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara have recorded the higher season possession share.

43.1%PossessionAkhmat Grozny · Krylya Sovetov Samara● 51.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAkhmat GroznyKrylya Sovetov SamaraBaseline
Possession43.1%51.6%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots15 shotsAkhmat Grozny 8 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 15 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots8 shotsAkhmat Grozny 2 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG1.1 xGAkhmat Grozny 0.9 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1.1 xG
  • Possession41%59%Akhmat Grozny 41%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 59%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersAkhmat Grozny 5 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls17 foulsAkhmat Grozny 6 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 2 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny7 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara7 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/71.29 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed7/71.57 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals7/6▲ 1.79 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 15.6 shots/match
5.57 shots/matchShots on target7/75.86 shots/match
43.1%Possession7/7● 51.6%
3.29 corners/matchCorners7/7● 5.43 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls7/78 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Aug 2022, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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