PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Nizhny Novgorod 0–2 Orenburg · Premier League

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Orenburg won 0–2.

Shots
1110
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.751.28
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Orenburg beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2–0. Recorded in this match (Pari Nizhny Novgorod – Orenburg): shots 11–10, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.75–1.28, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod have a visible home split

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

14.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.8 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots10 shotsNizhny Novgorod 11 shots, Orenburg 10 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsNizhny Novgorod 3 shots, Orenburg 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.75 xG1.28 xGNizhny Novgorod 0.75 xG, Orenburg 1.28 xG
  • Possession56%44%Nizhny Novgorod 56%, Orenburg 44%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersNizhny Novgorod 4 corners, Orenburg 4 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls14 foulsNizhny Novgorod 6 fouls, Orenburg 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Nizhny Novgorod favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Nizhny Novgorod10 matchesOrenburg10 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.4 goals/match
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/102.6 goals/match
1.27 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.76 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 15.8 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 6.4 shots/match
47.5% ●Possession10/1045.7%
3.4 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.5 corners/match
10.6 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Sept 2022, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsNizhny NovgorodOrenburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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