PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FK Krasnodar 3–1 FC Khimki · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 3–1.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
123
Expected goals
2.781.41
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat FC Khimki 3–1. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – FC Khimki): shots 16–12, shots on target 12–3, expected goals 2.78–1.41, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Khimki's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Khimki's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsFK Krasnodar 16 shots, FC Khimki 12 shots
  • Shots on target12 shots3 shotsFK Krasnodar 12 shots, FC Khimki 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.78 xG1.41 xGFK Krasnodar 2.78 xG, FC Khimki 1.41 xG
  • Possession43%57%FK Krasnodar 43%, FC Khimki 57%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersFK Krasnodar 4 corners, FC Khimki 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls8 foulsFK Krasnodar 10 fouls, FC Khimki 8 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · FC Khimki in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar10 matchesFC Khimki10 matches
2.1 goals/match ▲Goals scored10/101.1 goals/match
1.4 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.9 goals/match
1.81 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/101.3 xG/match
15.1 shots/match ▲Shots10/1011.4 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target10/103.8 shots/match
55.7% ●Possession10/1050.8%
3.8 corners/match ●Corners10/103.5 corners/match
10.2 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Sept 2022, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarFC Khimki
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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