Premier League · 2022

Dynamo Moscow 3–2 Orenburg · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 3–2.

Shots
1115
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
1.181.61
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat Orenburg 3–2. Recorded in this match (Dynamo Moscow – Orenburg): shots 11–15, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.18–1.61, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Orenburg have a visible away split

moderate

Orenburg's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

12 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season16.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match16.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Dynamo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Dynamo Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.62 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.62 goals/match1.62 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Orenburg show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Orenburg's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsDynamo Moscow · Orenburg16.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDynamo MoscowOrenburgBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match16.7 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15.2 shots/match15.5 shots/match14.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots15 shotsDynamo Moscow 11 shots, Orenburg 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsDynamo Moscow 5 shots, Orenburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.18 xG1.61 xGDynamo Moscow 1.18 xG, Orenburg 1.61 xG
  • Possession47%53%Dynamo Moscow 47%, Orenburg 53%
  • Corners7 corners8 cornersDynamo Moscow 7 corners, Orenburg 8 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsDynamo Moscow 9 fouls, Orenburg 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dynamo Moscow favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Orenburg in 4 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dynamo Moscow13 matchesOrenburg13 matches
1.62 goals/matchGoals scored13/131.69 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed13/132.38 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals7/13▲ 1.97 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 16.7 shots/match
3.54 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 6.46 shots/match
44.6%Possession13/13● 46.4%
4.23 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.77 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls13/1313.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 15 Oct 2022, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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