PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Dynamo Moscow 2–1 CSKA Moscow · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 2–1.

Shots
2015
Shots on target
55
Expected goals
3.981.58
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat CSKA Moscow 2–1. Recorded in this match (Dynamo Moscow – CSKA Moscow): shots 20–15, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 3.98–1.58, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Dynamo Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

3 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for3 goals/match1.94 goals/match1.59 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots15 shotsDynamo Moscow 20 shots, CSKA Moscow 15 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots5 shotsDynamo Moscow 5 shots, CSKA Moscow 5 shots
  • Expected goals3.98 xG1.58 xGDynamo Moscow 3.98 xG, CSKA Moscow 1.58 xG
  • Possession44%56%Dynamo Moscow 44%, CSKA Moscow 56%
  • Corners9 corners11 cornersDynamo Moscow 9 corners, CSKA Moscow 11 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsDynamo Moscow 9 fouls, CSKA Moscow 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Dynamo Moscow
1Draws
0CSKA Moscow
CSKA Moscow — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dynamo Moscow favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · CSKA Moscow in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dynamo Moscow17 matchesCSKA Moscow17 matches
1.94 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/171.76 goals/match
1.24 goals/matchGoals allowed17/17▲ 1.06 goals/match
2.11 xG/match ▲Expected goals10/161.89 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots17/17▲ 15.4 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.94 shots/match
46.4%Possession17/17● 49%
5.12 corners/match ●Corners17/175.06 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls17/1711 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Nov 2022, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDynamo MoscowCSKA Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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