PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FC Rostov 2–1 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Rostov won 2–1.

Shots
422
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.071.31
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Rostov beat Dynamo Moscow 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Rostov – Dynamo Moscow): shots 4–22, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.07–1.31, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Dynamo Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.94 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.94 goals/match1.56 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots22 shotsFC Rostov 4 shots, Dynamo Moscow 22 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsFC Rostov 4 shots, Dynamo Moscow 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.07 xG1.31 xGFC Rostov 1.07 xG, Dynamo Moscow 1.31 xG
  • Possession47%53%FC Rostov 47%, Dynamo Moscow 53%
  • Corners1 corner6 cornersFC Rostov 1 corner, Dynamo Moscow 6 corners
  • Fouls2 fouls10 foulsFC Rostov 2 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Rostov
1Draws
0Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Rostov favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Rostov16 matchesDynamo Moscow16 matches
1.81 goals/matchGoals scored16/16▲ 1.94 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed16/16▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.64 xG/matchExpected goals16/9▲ 1.91 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots16/1613.3 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target16/164.5 shots/match
52.3% ●Possession16/1646.5%
4.69 corners/matchCorners16/16● 4.88 corners/match
8.88 fouls/matchFouls16/1611.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples16 / 16home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Nov 2022, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC RostovDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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