PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Akhmat Grozny 0–1 Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 0–1.

Shots
236
Shots on target
51
Expected goals
3.020.25
Possession
64%36%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow beat Akhmat Grozny 1–0. Recorded in this match (Akhmat Grozny – Lokomotiv Moscow): shots 23–6, shots on target 5–1, expected goals 3.02–0.25, possession 64%–36%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Akhmat Grozny's recent record differs from the season

weak

Akhmat Grozny's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Lokomotiv Moscow have a visible away split

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

9.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots9.5 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots6 shotsAkhmat Grozny 23 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 6 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots1 shotAkhmat Grozny 5 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.02 xG0.25 xGAkhmat Grozny 3.02 xG, Lokomotiv Moscow 0.25 xG
  • Possession64%36%Akhmat Grozny 64%, Lokomotiv Moscow 36%
  • Corners11 corners6 cornersAkhmat Grozny 11 corners, Lokomotiv Moscow 6 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsAkhmat Grozny 18 fouls, Lokomotiv Moscow 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Akhmat Grozny
0Draws
0Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow — Akhmat Grozny · Premier League1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Akhmat Grozny favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Akhmat Grozny19 matchesLokomotiv Moscow19 matches
1.58 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.26 goals/match
1.53 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.84 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.46 xG/match
14.2 shots/match ▲Shots19/1912.4 shots/match
5.16 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.47 shots/match
44.7%Possession19/19● 50.5%
4.84 corners/match ●Corners19/194.74 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Mar 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAkhmat GroznyLokomotiv Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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