PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FK Krasnodar 3–1 Dynamo Moscow · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 3–1.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
41
Possession
61%39%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat Dynamo Moscow 3–1. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – Dynamo Moscow): shots 13–10, shots on target 4–1, possession 61%–39%, corners 9–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

Dynamo Moscow's last-five shots average is above their season average.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FK Krasnodar have recorded the higher season possession share.

56.8% ●PossessionFK Krasnodar · Dynamo Moscow46.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 10.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFK KrasnodarDynamo MoscowBaseline
Possession56.8%46.6%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsFK Krasnodar 13 shots, Dynamo Moscow 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots1 shotFK Krasnodar 4 shots, Dynamo Moscow 1 shot
  • Possession61%39%FK Krasnodar 61%, Dynamo Moscow 39%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersFK Krasnodar 9 corners, Dynamo Moscow 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls12 foulsFK Krasnodar 7 fouls, Dynamo Moscow 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FK Krasnodar
1Draws
0Dynamo Moscow
Dynamo Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Dynamo Moscow in 6 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar19 matchesDynamo Moscow19 matches
1.89 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.84 goals/match
1.68 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.81 xG/matchExpected goals14/11▲ 2.02 xG/match
14.5 shots/match ▲Shots19/1913.3 shots/match
5.26 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.26 shots/match
56.8% ●Possession19/1946.6%
4.21 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5 corners/match
10.9 fouls/matchFouls19/1911.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Mar 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarDynamo Moscow
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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