PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Dynamo Moscow 1–0 Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 1–0.

Shots
913
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
1.041.54
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–0. Recorded in this match (Dynamo Moscow – Krylya Sovetov Samara): shots 9–13, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 1.04–1.54, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Dynamo Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Dynamo Moscow's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsDynamo Moscow 9 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsDynamo Moscow 3 shots, Krylya Sovetov Samara 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.04 xG1.54 xGDynamo Moscow 1.04 xG, Krylya Sovetov Samara 1.54 xG
  • Possession58%42%Dynamo Moscow 58%, Krylya Sovetov Samara 42%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersDynamo Moscow 5 corners, Krylya Sovetov Samara 7 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls5 foulsDynamo Moscow 22 fouls, Krylya Sovetov Samara 5 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Dynamo Moscow
0Draws
0Krylya Sovetov Samara
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dynamo Moscow favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Krylya Sovetov Samara in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dynamo Moscow18 matchesKrylya Sovetov Samara18 matches
1.89 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/181.11 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/181.44 goals/match
2.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/161.82 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots18/18▲ 15.6 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target18/18▲ 5.94 shots/match
47%Possession18/18● 48.2%
5.11 corners/match ●Corners18/185.06 corners/match
11.9 fouls/matchFouls18/187.94 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Mar 2023, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsDynamo MoscowKrylya Sovetov Samara
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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