Premier League · 2022

Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–1 Akhmat Grozny · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Akhmat Grozny won 0–1.

Shots
2412
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.070.78
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Akhmat Grozny beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–0. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Akhmat Grozny): shots 24–12, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.07–0.78, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Krylya Sovetov Samara have a visible home split

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

19 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season15.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots19 shots/match15.6 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots12 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 24 shots, Akhmat Grozny 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 8 shots, Akhmat Grozny 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.07 xG0.78 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 2.07 xG, Akhmat Grozny 0.78 xG
  • Possession52%48%Krylya Sovetov Samara 52%, Akhmat Grozny 48%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 4 corners, Akhmat Grozny 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls15 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 15 fouls, Akhmat Grozny 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Krylya Sovetov Samara
0Draws
0Akhmat Grozny
Akhmat Grozny — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League1–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Akhmat Grozny in 3 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara20 matchesAkhmat Grozny20 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored20/20▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed20/20▲ 1.45 goals/match
1.79 xG/match ▲Expected goals18/201.51 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots20/2014.1 shots/match
5.8 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/205.05 shots/match
48.4% ●Possession20/2044.9%
5 corners/match ●Corners20/204.8 corners/match
8.5 fouls/matchFouls20/2011.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Mar 2023, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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