PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FC Sochi 1–0 FC Rostov · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Sochi won 1–0.

Shots
227
Shots on target
85
Expected goals
1.80.73
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Sochi beat FC Rostov 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Sochi – FC Rostov): shots 22–7, shots on target 8–5, expected goals 1.8–0.73, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.63 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.63 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Sochi have a visible home split

moderate

FC Sochi's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match12.5 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots7 shotsFC Sochi 22 shots, FC Rostov 7 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots5 shotsFC Sochi 8 shots, FC Rostov 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.8 xG0.73 xGFC Sochi 1.8 xG, FC Rostov 0.73 xG
  • Possession53%47%FC Sochi 53%, FC Rostov 47%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersFC Sochi 5 corners, FC Rostov 2 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls10 foulsFC Sochi 14 fouls, FC Rostov 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Sochi
1Draws
0FC Rostov
FC Rostov — FC Sochi · Premier League2–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Sochi favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Sochi27 matchesFC Rostov27 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored27/27▲ 1.63 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed27/27▲ 1.3 goals/match
1.67 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/271.52 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots27/2712.2 shots/match
4.52 shots/matchShots on target27/274.74 shots/match
52.4% ●Possession27/2751.2%
5.07 corners/match ●Corners27/274.41 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls27/279.59 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 May 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC SochiFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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