PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

Fakel Voronezh 1–0 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fakel Voronezh won 1–0.

Shots
76
Shots on target
21
Expected goals
1.630.3
Possession
46%54%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fakel Voronezh beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 1–0. Recorded in this match (Fakel Voronezh – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 7–6, shots on target 2–1, expected goals 1.63–0.3, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Pari Nizhny Novgorod's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots6 shotsFakel Voronezh 7 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots1 shotFakel Voronezh 2 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.63 xG0.3 xGFakel Voronezh 1.63 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 0.3 xG
  • Possession46%54%Fakel Voronezh 46%, Nizhny Novgorod 54%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersFakel Voronezh 5 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls11 foulsFakel Voronezh 19 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Fakel Voronezh
0Draws
1Nizhny Novgorod
Nizhny Novgorod — Fakel Voronezh · Premier League3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fakel Voronezh favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fakel Voronezh27 matchesNizhny Novgorod27 matches
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored27/271 goal/match
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.85 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals26/261.1 xG/match
11.4 shots/match ▲Shots27/269.92 shots/match
4.15 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/263.08 shots/match
42.6%Possession27/26● 43.1%
3.89 corners/match ●Corners27/263.5 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls27/2612 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 14 May 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFakel VoronezhNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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