PitchMath
Premier League · 2022

FK Krasnodar 3–0 FC Rostov · Premier League

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FK Krasnodar won 3–0.

Shots
165
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
2.370.29
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

FK Krasnodar beat FC Rostov 3–0. Recorded in this match (FK Krasnodar – FC Rostov): shots 16–5, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 2.37–0.29, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.57 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.57 goals/match1.63 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots5 shotsFK Krasnodar 16 shots, FC Rostov 5 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotFK Krasnodar 6 shots, FC Rostov 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.37 xG0.29 xGFK Krasnodar 2.37 xG, FC Rostov 0.29 xG
  • Possession51%49%FK Krasnodar 51%, FC Rostov 49%
  • Corners7 corners5 cornersFK Krasnodar 7 corners, FC Rostov 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsFK Krasnodar 11 fouls, FC Rostov 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FK Krasnodar
0Draws
1FC Rostov
FC Rostov — FK Krasnodar · Premier League3–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FK Krasnodar favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FK Krasnodar28 matchesFC Rostov28 matches
2.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/281.57 goals/match
1.57 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.84 xG/match ▲Expected goals21/281.47 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots28/2811.9 shots/match
5.71 shots/match ▲Shots on target28/284.61 shots/match
56.1% ●Possession28/2851.1%
4.43 corners/matchCorners28/284.43 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls28/289.57 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 21 May 2023, 20:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFK KrasnodarFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2022/23
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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