PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

CSKA Moscow 1–0 FK Krasnodar · Premier League

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

CSKA Moscow won 1–0.

Shots
916
Shots on target
67
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

CSKA Moscow beat FK Krasnodar 1–0. Recorded in this match (CSKA Moscow – FK Krasnodar): shots 9–16, shots on target 6–7, possession 39%–61%, corners 1–5. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

CSKA Moscow's recent record differs from the season

weak

CSKA Moscow's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.77 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.77 goals/match1.27 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FK Krasnodar have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.6%PossessionCSKA Moscow · FK Krasnodar● 56.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCSKA MoscowFK KrasnodarBaseline
Possession48.6%56.8%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots16 shotsCSKA Moscow 9 shots, FK Krasnodar 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots7 shotsCSKA Moscow 6 shots, FK Krasnodar 7 shots
  • Possession39%61%CSKA Moscow 39%, FK Krasnodar 61%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersCSKA Moscow 1 corner, FK Krasnodar 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsCSKA Moscow 11 fouls, FK Krasnodar 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1CSKA Moscow
1Draws
0FK Krasnodar
FK Krasnodar — CSKA Moscow · Premier League0–0
CSKA Moscow — FK Krasnodar · Premier League4–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: CSKA Moscow favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · FK Krasnodar in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

CSKA Moscow13 matchesFK Krasnodar13 matches
1.77 goals/match ▲Goals scored13/131.62 goals/match
1.31 goals/matchGoals allowed13/13▲ 0.62 goals/match
1.57 xG/matchExpected goals12/12▲ 1.92 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots13/13▲ 12.6 shots/match
4.38 shots/matchShots on target13/13▲ 4.69 shots/match
48.6%Possession13/13● 56.8%
4 corners/matchCorners13/13● 5.38 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls13/1310.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples13 / 13home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 29 Oct 2023, 20:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCSKA MoscowFK Krasnodar
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headCSKA Moscow — FK Krasnodar
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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