PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Lokomotiv Moscow 2–2 FC Sochi · Premier League

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow and FC Sochi drew 2–2.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.971.47
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow and FC Sochi drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – FC Sochi): shots 15–11, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.97–1.47, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.6 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.6 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 15 shots, FC Sochi 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 6 shots, FC Sochi 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.97 xG1.47 xGLokomotiv Moscow 1.97 xG, FC Sochi 1.47 xG
  • Possession50%50%Lokomotiv Moscow 50%, FC Sochi 50%
  • Corners4 corners1 cornerLokomotiv Moscow 4 corners, FC Sochi 1 corner
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 11 fouls, FC Sochi 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lokomotiv Moscow
0Draws
1FC Sochi
FC Sochi — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League0–1
Lokomotiv Moscow — FC Sochi · Premier League3–0
FC Sochi — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League4–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · FC Sochi in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow20 matchesFC Sochi20 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored20/200.95 goals/match
1.35 goals/match ▲Goals allowed20/201.65 goals/match
1.55 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/191.39 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots20/1911.2 shots/match
4.45 shots/match ▲Shots on target20/193.63 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession20/1950.1%
5.6 corners/match ●Corners20/194.11 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls20/1913.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples20 / 20home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 Mar 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowFC Sochi
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — FC Sochi
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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