Premier League · 2023

Dynamo Moscow 2–1 Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dynamo Moscow won 2–1.

Shots
147
Shots on target
63
Expected goals
1.520.54
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dynamo Moscow beat Lokomotiv Moscow 2–1. Recorded in this match (Dynamo Moscow – Lokomotiv Moscow): shots 14–7, shots on target 6–3, expected goals 1.52–0.54, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Lokomotiv Moscow's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Lokomotiv Moscow's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.58 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.58 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Dynamo Moscow show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Dynamo Moscow's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsDynamo Moscow · Lokomotiv Moscow12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricDynamo MoscowLokomotiv MoscowBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against14.7 shots/match13.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots7 shotsDynamo Moscow 14 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots3 shotsDynamo Moscow 6 shots, Lokomotiv Moscow 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.52 xG0.54 xGDynamo Moscow 1.52 xG, Lokomotiv Moscow 0.54 xG
  • Possession43%57%Dynamo Moscow 43%, Lokomotiv Moscow 57%
  • Corners3 corners2 cornersDynamo Moscow 3 corners, Lokomotiv Moscow 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls11 foulsDynamo Moscow 15 fouls, Lokomotiv Moscow 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Dynamo Moscow
1Draws
1Lokomotiv Moscow
Lokomotiv Moscow — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League0–0
Dynamo Moscow — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League2–4
Lokomotiv Moscow — Dynamo Moscow · Premier League1–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Dynamo Moscow favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Lokomotiv Moscow in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Dynamo Moscow19 matchesLokomotiv Moscow19 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored19/191.58 goals/match
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.32 goals/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.53 xG/match
15.9 shots/match ▲Shots19/1912.6 shots/match
5.37 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.37 shots/match
49.2%Possession19/19● 50.3%
5.53 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.68 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls19/1912.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Mar 2024, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

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