PitchMath
Premier League · 2023

Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–1 Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara and Zenit St. Petersburg drew 1–1.

Shots
715
Shots on target
15
Expected goals
0.91.9
Possession
29%71%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara and Zenit St. Petersburg drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Zenit St. Petersburg): shots 7–15, shots on target 1–5, expected goals 0.9–1.9, possession 29%–71%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.76 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Krylya Sovetov Samara show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Krylya Sovetov Samara's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsKrylya Sovetov Samara · Zenit St. Petersburg13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match13 shots/match12.5 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match8.52 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Zenit St. Petersburg have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.2%PossessionKrylya Sovetov Samara · Zenit St. Petersburg● 63.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricKrylya Sovetov SamaraZenit St. PetersburgBaseline
Possession48.2%63.5%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots15 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 7 shots, Zenit St. Petersburg 15 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot5 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 1 shot, Zenit St. Petersburg 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.9 xG1.9 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 0.9 xG, Zenit St. Petersburg 1.9 xG
  • Possession29%71%Krylya Sovetov Samara 29%, Zenit St. Petersburg 71%
  • Corners3 corners13 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 3 corners, Zenit St. Petersburg 13 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 9 fouls, Zenit St. Petersburg 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Krylya Sovetov Samara
0Draws
3Zenit St. Petersburg
Zenit St. Petersburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League3–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Zenit St. Petersburg · Premier League1–5
Zenit St. Petersburg — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Zenit St. Petersburg in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara21 matchesZenit St. Petersburg21 matches
1.76 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.9 goals/match
1.52 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.9 goals/match
1.76 xG/match ▲Expected goals20/201.61 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 13 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target21/214.62 shots/match
48.2%Possession21/21● 63.5%
5.05 corners/matchCorners21/21● 6.67 corners/match
9.29 fouls/matchFouls21/218.95 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 30 Mar 2024, 15:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraZenit St. Petersburg
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2023/24
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — Zenit St. Petersburg
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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