PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Krylya Sovetov Samara 3–1 Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Krylya Sovetov Samara won 3–1.

Shots
2211
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.551.42
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Krylya Sovetov Samara beat Pari Nizhny Novgorod 3–1. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Pari Nizhny Novgorod): shots 22–11, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.55–1.42, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

weak

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goal/match1.28 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots11 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 22 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 11 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 8 shots, Nizhny Novgorod 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.55 xG1.42 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 2.55 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 1.42 xG
  • Possession62%38%Krylya Sovetov Samara 62%, Nizhny Novgorod 38%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 4 corners, Nizhny Novgorod 2 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls16 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 7 fouls, Nizhny Novgorod 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Krylya Sovetov Samara
1Draws
2Nizhny Novgorod
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League1–1
Nizhny Novgorod — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–0
Nizhny Novgorod — Krylya Sovetov Samara · Premier League2–1
Krylya Sovetov Samara — Nizhny Novgorod · Premier League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Nizhny Novgorod in 2 · 9 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara6 matchesNizhny Novgorod6 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored6/61 goal/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/40.82 xG/match
13.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/46.75 shots/match
5.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/42.25 shots/match
49% ●Possession3/436.5%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners3/43.25 corners/match
10.7 fouls/matchFouls3/416.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 16:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraNizhny Novgorod
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headKrylya Sovetov Samara — Nizhny Novgorod
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required