PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Lokomotiv Moscow 3–2 FC Rostov · Premier League

3–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Lokomotiv Moscow won 3–2.

Shots
1011
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
0.921.44
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lokomotiv Moscow beat FC Rostov 3–2. Recorded in this match (Lokomotiv Moscow – FC Rostov): shots 10–11, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 0.92–1.44, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Rostov's recent record differs from the season

weak

FC Rostov's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots11 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 10 shots, FC Rostov 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsLokomotiv Moscow 6 shots, FC Rostov 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.92 xG1.44 xGLokomotiv Moscow 0.92 xG, FC Rostov 1.44 xG
  • Possession40%60%Lokomotiv Moscow 40%, FC Rostov 60%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersLokomotiv Moscow 6 corners, FC Rostov 3 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls10 foulsLokomotiv Moscow 8 fouls, FC Rostov 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Lokomotiv Moscow
1Draws
1FC Rostov
Lokomotiv Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League1–0
FC Rostov — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–0
FC Rostov — Lokomotiv Moscow · Premier League1–3
Lokomotiv Moscow — FC Rostov · Premier League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lokomotiv Moscow favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · FC Rostov in 0 · 7 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lokomotiv Moscow6 matchesFC Rostov6 matches
2.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.5 goals/match
1.17 goals/match ▲Goals allowed6/62 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.15 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots3/3▲ 14.7 shots/match
5.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34.33 shots/match
45%Possession3/3● 58.7%
5.67 corners/match ●Corners3/35 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls3/311.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 25 Aug 2024, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLokomotiv MoscowFC Rostov
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
Head-to-headLokomotiv Moscow — FC Rostov
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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