PitchMath
Premier League · 2024

Krylya Sovetov Samara 0–1 Dinamo Makhachkala · Premier League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Dinamo Makhachkala won 0–1.

Shots
154
Shots on target
33
Expected goals
1.150.73
Possession
71%29%

Full time

What the match recorded

Dinamo Makhachkala beat Krylya Sovetov Samara 1–0. Recorded in this match (Krylya Sovetov Samara – Dinamo Makhachkala): shots 15–4, shots on target 3–3, expected goals 1.15–0.73, possession 71%–29%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Krylya Sovetov Samara's recent record differs from the season

weak

Krylya Sovetov Samara's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.29 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots4 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 15 shots, Dinamo Makhachkala 4 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots3 shotsKrylya Sovetov Samara 3 shots, Dinamo Makhachkala 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG0.73 xGKrylya Sovetov Samara 1.15 xG, Dinamo Makhachkala 0.73 xG
  • Possession71%29%Krylya Sovetov Samara 71%, Dinamo Makhachkala 29%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersKrylya Sovetov Samara 9 corners, Dinamo Makhachkala 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls20 foulsKrylya Sovetov Samara 7 fouls, Dinamo Makhachkala 20 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Krylya Sovetov Samara favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Dinamo Makhachkala in 2 · 8 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Krylya Sovetov Samara7 matchesDinamo Makhachkala7 matches
0.86 goals/match ▲Goals scored7/70.43 goals/match
1.86 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
1.16 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/50.82 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/59.6 shots/match
4.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/53.8 shots/match
54.5% ●Possession4/541.8%
5.5 corners/match ●Corners4/55.4 corners/match
9.75 fouls/matchFouls4/514 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Sept 2024, 18:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Premier League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsKrylya Sovetov SamaraDinamo Makhachkala
CompetitionPremier LeaguePremier League 2024/25
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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